Hi everyone!
It’s been a while! Clearly the economic gloom has played its toll on AIM in general over the last year, particularly the tail end of 2011, this basically meant that in the most part I’d reduced or cleared any holdings and watched from the sidelines. Clearly given that I wasn’t active any more, I felt little reason to post!
Now I’m not going to pretend that the economic turmoil is behind us and that things will only get better from here. I’m certainly remaining cautious of the global circumstances.
However, as of the very end of last year, I started to get back in the game, and so I intend to start posting here again.
I’m currently going through an Administrative task on the blog itself, nothing anyone will notice, but it means that while I planned to have something useful up today, I won’t be able to. Hopefully within a week or two.
In the mean time, I will, however mention a few things I believe are worth keeping an eye on:
RMP / RRL (Red Emperor and Range Resources)
- Their current drills in Puntland. Spudded around 17th January (RNS). Claim it will take 90 days to complete the well, and then move on to second. This could be game changing for both companies. It will de-risk a massive area, where oil has previously been discovered (20 years ago). See my last updates on RMP and RRL which goes into Puntland a bit more. The SPs for both companies were significantly higher than today’s prices when I last wrote about them, which in my eyes says only one thing about the current price. First drill targeting 300MMb recoverable oil (60 net to RMP and RRL)… Even in these risk averse markets, say a valuation of $2 a barrel would add $120m to market cap of each company. Which for RMP with 190million shares in issue, is 40p a share (current SP 19p). Bear in mind $2 a barrel is pretty low given current oil price.
- It’s worth re-iterating that oil was discovered on this licence 20 years ago but political instability drove conoco out of the area.
- It’s also worth noting that Somalia and these oil drills are attracting a lot of media coverage, which brings investors with it. This was reflected in the pre-spud increase to 23p for RMP on high volume. If the markets remain bullish, I expect some serious anticipation as we reach TD on this drill.
- Furthermore, it’s certainly worth mentioning that if this drill finds oil in any of the 3 target zones, it de-risks some of the other prospects in the area. We are talking Billions of barrels of Oil.
- Looking to spud Georgia in the very near future (according to a recent RNS), this is targeting approx 100MMb Oil In Place, 20% to RMP and 40% to RRL. With a recoverability factor, these will add value, but less so than Puntland.
Just for fun, here’s a poll:
BOR (Borders and Southern)
- Borders and Southern Petroleum. Started drilling their Darwin prospect early last week (RNS)
- targeting 760MMB recoverable oil!
- Current market cap circa £300m
- Cash in bank circa £100m (enough to complete this drill and next Steebbing prospect, targeting 1280MMB recoverable resources!)
- Note: Rockhopper, with their Sea Lion discovery (and some other un-appraised oil shows) of around 500MMb has a Market Cap of £1billion.
- Lots of media attention surrounding the Falklands at the moment (good and bad), clearly the Argentinians are keen to own them, but I don’t think the UK has any intention of giving in, and we shouldn’t either, in my opinion.
SLE (San Leon Energy)
As previously highlighted (here) there’s loads going on for this company, and I simply cannot believe how cheap it is. The goings-on with the REALM acquisition have played a big part in depressing the SP in my opinion (RNS)
Recent news:
- Some technical hurdles crossed on their Tarfaya Oil Shale project – RNS (although clearly more hurdles to get through).
- Additional leads highlighted in Morocco as a result of the latest 2D seismic survey (RNS).
- A Prospective recoverable resource upgrade for Albania amounting to a total of over 1 billion barrels of potential recoverable oil
- A transfer of risk of the Barryroe license, in exchange for a 4.5% net profit interest of the whole field (RNS)
News to come soon:
- Barryroe update
- Siciny-2 well in Poland, spudded 11th November
- Rogity-1 well in Poland, spudded 13th December
- Further Morocco updates
And this doesn’t cover the half of it… On top of all the above, the SP is sat at around 11p, which is simply ludicrous. Rumours on the various BBs are that the big REALM sellers are now done, so hopefully the path should be clear for a rise over coming weeks. But we’ll see.
The Small Print
Please note that I am not a financial adviser or even employed in the financial sector and am not providing financial advice. The contents of this blog are from my own research of publicly available data, and any opinions expressed are my own. I trust that you enjoy reading them but you must do your own research or obtain financial advice before making any investment. Naturally, I do everything I can to ensure that the information posted by me is entirely accurate, however, any information provided is subject to the possibility of error, both in fact and interpretation, on my part and for that I can not be held accountable.